Covid vaccines for children, I expect someone will apologize even in Italy

read on Daily event the excellent article signed by Peter D’Angelo with the interview with the director of the National Board of Health, Søren Brostrøm, it was a satisfaction to me, even though it was very bitter. In fact, the Danish head of health acknowledges in the interview that vaccination of children against Covid-19 was a mistake and apologizes publicly.

This issue has always been one of my main concerns, and together with other colleagues, we have been working since the beginning of the pandemic to ensure that it is adopted first and foremost. a moratorium on vaccinations in this age group and subsequently to illustrate to parents – encouraged by the unanimous chorus of pediatric companies to vaccinate their children – the reasons which, in our opinion, should instead have provoked greater caution and reflection.

In fact, Covid-19 is not a problem in healthy children, the risks are known Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome (MIS-C) with the current variants, they are 13-14 times rarer than the already rare cases found with Alpha and Delta. The current vaccines (where the expiration date has even been extended) were devised on the Wuhan virus, and therefore less active on the forms currently circulating, which, although widespread, run as trivial flu episodes or even asymptomatic.

We now know that immunity has won through natural infection is more durable and effective than vaccine protection, and it is now well established that the protection against infection not only disappears within a few weeks / months after inoculation, but even becomes negative, ie. vaccinated people become infected – and therefore spread the virus – to just as much. , if not more than the unvaccinated.

Not to mention the fact that in these two years such and many tests have accumulated side effects of these “products” in the short and medium term, and there are still many unknowns about the long-term effects that continuing on this path seems really pointless: To therefore admit the mistake of a leading exponent for the Danish healthcare system is certainly a great relief .

In the article to which I referred, there is also a recent and important work published about Lancet conducted in Italy by ISS researchers on a large cohort of children – vaccinated and unvaccinated – from 5 to 11 years, followed from 17 January to 10 April 2022, the results of which have been carefully evaluated and accurate observations are available here.

The results of the study are at least mediocre given that the vaccine’s effectiveness against infection peaks as mentioned in the discussion. 38% between 0 and 14 days after the end of the vaccination cycle, to go down to 21% on average from 42 days, suggesting that the effectiveness at the end of the 84-day follow-up could have dropped to around zero. The declared protection against Covid is also serious, which is nevertheless worrying a small number of cases, is 41% over the entire period. If we consider that in order to approve a vaccine, the effect must be at least 50%, we understand how far we are from the goal.

But there is more because, by comparing data from the study published on Lancet with the corresponding ones in the ISS ‘weekly bulletins themselves, there are some conflicting elements that could make the results even more sparse and confirm the “negative” effectiveness already mentioned.

The study published in Lancet examined the entire population of children aged 5-11 years, divided into: unvaccinated, vaccinated with incomplete vaccination and fully vaccinated, but the number of groups does not correspond to that found in the ISS Bulletins on the same date. In particular, there is a numerical underestimation of the non-vaccinated group – quantifiable in about 70,000 subjects – and conversely a surplus of over 16,000 in vaccinated subjects.

It is now clear that with populations as the denominator in the incidence calculations, an underestimation of the non-vaccinated population leads to an overestimation of the relative incidence, and conversely, an overestimation of the vaccinated population will lead to an underestimation of the same. . The combined effect of these discrepancies will therefore be reduce the relative risk of vaccination compared to the unvaccinated, which increases the estimate of the vaccine’s effectiveness.

I hope that all these considerations will finally be taken into account in the considerations they deserve, especially now that it is a matter of starting vaccination against Covid-19 from the outset. 6 months oldbut I still have a question: Will there ever be any health authorities in our country who will have the courage to apologize as in Denmark?

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