What happens to smartphones: End of a technological cycle? Video

Just a moment before Prime Day I suggest a reflection, personal but shared with colleagues, about the world of the smartphone, here it is: they have become boring. What actually says “boring” is a great simplification that includes several other meanings, including “not very interesting”, “not very practical”, “not very original”, “not very innovative”, “anyway”.

So far, 2022 has been a disastrous yearthere are very few products that can be saved, and for the most part they are smartphones with good value for money, by definition not exciting but practical, or some first-class meteor that at the expense of a kidney allows you to get some sophistication compared to the top of the previous year’s interval.

The market data speaks for itself, and the excuse for the war in Ukraine or the chip crisis may not work for everything. The open question I ask you is: are we at the end of the technological paradigm? In the video you will find my answer.


After expressing my thoughts in the video, I do not want to stretch the broth. I would rather focus on the future and about what could be the scenarios that await us.

There are no high expectations for the next upcoming products, the new Folds should be further improved across the board the previous models, but the rumors do not suggest major changes, the folding field remains at least in my opinion the most promising in the short term, although the shape will still change, but not the substance.

In this sense, Gabriele gave me some juicy affirmations when he returned from his trip to the United States as a guest at Motorola’s research centers. I can not tell you more than what he has already told (here also the video).

The second branch of development is concentrated on the photographic sector, but the feeling is that we have really reached the end of the line, the carpet is inevitably short, the physics are physical, and if the cameras have a certain shape and certain dimensions, it is certainly not by tradition, but rather by necessity.

Of course, AI algorithms can do wonders, but you still have to go through the narrow door of optics and sensors, which on smartphones are very narrow. It is not possible to invent a lot and Sony Xperia 1 IV is the clear testimony of this. A smartphone that focuses on the first telephoto lens with progressive optical zoom between 85 mm and 125 mm equivalent, but which collides with the harsh reality of a complex innovation with an almost insignificant impact on everyday life.

By the way: our Xperia 1 IV had major problems with the photographic sector, especially with the variable zoom, compared to me with other colleagues, the answer was the same, but we preferred to investigate the matter with Sony before going out with a review where the evaluation would be “not evaluable”. We will let you know.


Whether foldable, with a supercamera or instant charging, this is what I want in the future smartphone fully integrated with other technological devices and with the services I use.

In this direction, more and more progress is being made, but often within a limited ecosystem. You can not rent a car or a scooter without having installed 4-5 apps including fishing at the moment, ditto for charging electric cars, for paying for tickets for public transport, some smartphones have their own wallet, but yes then they collide with the systems of obsolete public affairs. Try showing your driver’s license on a digital wallet at a police check or your health card at the hospital.

I imagine a future where you can arrive at the office and place your smartphone on a dock to have your own virtual world in the workplace, perhaps through the recognition of an NFT associated with your company profile. There will be everything from badges to files, to the Windows / Mac profile with the programs I need. Or come to the hotel and frame a QR code on the TV to have my Netflix profile available without further hassle.

A kind of universal wallet that can function as an identity card, passport, driver’s license, health card, credit card, which can contain profile information to make the terminal we have at home or in the office move as we like or that we meet in the airport or in the high-speed train, or the sharing car or who knows what else, in the style of crypto wallets connected with physical wallets. All protected by biometric recognition, which might actually be safe (not with the fingerprint scan to be clear).

It’s like we have all the ingredients, but do not know how to get the cake out yet.


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